{"id":1520,"date":"2023-11-13T12:07:01","date_gmt":"2023-11-13T09:07:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nor-ijournal.com\/?p=1520"},"modified":"2023-11-21T18:53:42","modified_gmt":"2023-11-21T15:53:42","slug":"120-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nor-ijournal.com\/ru\/2023\/11\/13\/120-7\/","title":{"rendered":"Tarko A. &#8211; FOUR STAGES OF NUCLEAR WINTER MODELING"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"1520\" class=\"elementor elementor-1520\" data-elementor-settings=\"{&quot;ha_cmc_init_switcher&quot;:&quot;no&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-element elementor-element-174423c e-flex e-con-boxed jltma-glass-effect-no wpr-particle-no wpr-jarallax-no wpr-parallax-no wpr-sticky-section-no wpr-column-slider-no wpr-equal-height-no e-con e-parent\" data-eae-slider=\"88921\" data-id=\"174423c\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-element elementor-element-e289846 e-con-full e-flex jltma-glass-effect-no wpr-particle-no wpr-jarallax-no wpr-parallax-no wpr-sticky-section-no wpr-column-slider-no wpr-equal-height-no e-con e-child\" data-eae-slider=\"9245\" data-id=\"e289846\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b5a0a35 jltma-glass-effect-no exad-sticky-section-no exad-glass-effect-no elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"b5a0a35\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">FOUR STAGES OF NUCLEAR WINTER MODELING<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-863f119 jltma-glass-effect-no exad-sticky-section-no exad-glass-effect-no elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"863f119\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>Tarko A.<br \/><\/strong><em>Doctor of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, <br \/>Professor of Mathematical Cybernetics, <br \/>Chief Researcher of the Federal Research Center \u00abComputer Science and Control\u00bb of the Russian Academy of Sciences<\/em><\/p><p><strong>Abstract<br \/><\/strong>Forecasts of a nuclear winter that can result from a large-scale nuclear war were obtained si First forecasts of a Nuclear winter that will result from a large-scale nuclear war were obtained simultaneously and independently by scientists of the USSR and the USA in 1983-1985. The main factor causing a Nuclear winter is the powerful fires that have arisen as a result of the bombing of large cities, which have turned into &#8220;fire tornadoes&#8221;. The magnitude of the temperature drop at different points of the earth&#8217;s surface ranges from -5 to -50 degrees. The forecasts received by Soviet scientists of the USSR in 1988 are presented. for the case of the consequences of a large-scale nuclear war for an isolated human population and obtained by US scientists for the regional war between India and Pakistan in 2008-2022. The simulation results showed that the consequences of this regional conflict can have significant global consequences.<\/p><p><strong>Keywords:<\/strong> Nuclear winter forecasts, nuclear arsenal, forced optimization, mathematical models of global climate and biosphere processes, high spatial resolution of the model, food security.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-206ce67 jltma-glass-effect-no exad-sticky-section-no exad-glass-effect-no elementor-widget elementor-widget-pdfjs_viewer\" data-id=\"206ce67\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"pdfjs_viewer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<iframe data-src=\"https:\/\/nor-ijournal.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/pdf-viewer-for-elementor\/assets\/pdfjs\/web\/viewer.html?file=https:\/\/nor-ijournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/NJD_120-29-34.pdf&amp;embedded=true\" style=\"display: block; 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'https:\/\/nor-ijournal.com\/ru\/2023\/11\/13\/120-7\/', 'Tarko%20A.%20-%20FOUR%20STAGES%20OF%20NUCLEAR%20WINTER%20MODELING', '' )\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" viewbox=\"-.3 0 32 32\" version=\"1.1\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" style=\"display:block;border-radius:999px;\" xml:space=\"preserve\"><g><path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M18 14V8h-4v6H8v4h6v6h4v-6h6v-4h-6z\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\"><\/path><\/g><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/div><div class=\"heateorSssClear\"><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FOUR STAGES OF NUCLEAR WINTER MODELING Tarko A.Doctor of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Professor of Mathematical Cybernetics, Chief Researcher of the Federal Research Center \u00abComputer Science and Control\u00bb of the Russian Academy of Sciences AbstractForecasts of a nuclear winter that can result from a large-scale nuclear war were obtained si First forecasts of a Nuclear winter that will result from a large-scale nuclear war were obtained simultaneously and independently by scientists of the USSR and the USA in 1983-1985. The main factor causing a Nuclear winter is the powerful fires that have arisen as a result of the bombing of large cities, which have turned into &#8220;fire tornadoes&#8221;. The magnitude of the temperature drop at different points of the earth&#8217;s surface ranges from -5 to -50 degrees. The forecasts received by Soviet scientists of the USSR in 1988 are presented. for the case of the consequences of a large-scale nuclear war for an isolated human population and obtained by US scientists for the regional war between India and Pakistan in 2008-2022. The simulation results showed that the consequences of this regional conflict can have significant global consequences. Keywords: Nuclear winter forecasts, nuclear arsenal, forced optimization, mathematical models of global climate and biosphere processes, high spatial resolution of the model, food security. Download article Download certificate Download full issue https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.10137998 https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?view_op=view_citation&#038;hl=ru&#038;user=8HVJjYUAAAAJ&#038;sortby=pubdate&#038;authuser=3&#038;citation_for_view=8HVJjYUAAAAJ:viYOxJONeN0C<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[50],"tags":[32],"class_list":["post-1520","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-50","tag-hiss"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tarko A. - FOUR STAGES OF NUCLEAR WINTER MODELING<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Methods for filtering the high-frequency component of an image were studied in the work. Based on the simulation results, it was found that a high-pass filter copes with this task most effec-tively: butterworth filter, which can quickly perform processing, and after its application the image retains a large informative component. Ideal and Gaussian high-frequency filters also showed ac-ceptable results; they are only slightly inferior in performance and preservation of the information content of image elements. 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Ideal and Gaussian high-frequency filters also showed ac-ceptable results; they are only slightly inferior in performance and preservation of the information content of image elements. 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